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Options

16 articles

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The options expiry calendar and why it matters

Monthly and quarterly expiries concentrate gamma and open interest. How the calendar shapes pinning, post-expiry expansion, and where to expect volatility.

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Realized volatility regimes and how to trade them

Markets cycle between compression and expansion. How to identify the regime from realized vol, why low vol breeds high vol, and how positioning should adapt.

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The put/call ratio: reading options positioning

The put/call ratio shows whether traders are buying downside or upside. How to read it as sentiment, why extremes are contrarian, and where volume vs OI differ.

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Options skew explained: what it actually prices

Skew is the IV gap between puts and calls — which tail the market pays up for. How crypto's call-skew tendency differs from equities, and how to read shifts.

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The volatility risk premium: why selling vol pays

Implied vol usually trades above realized — sellers get paid for a move that rarely fully arrives. The edge, the regimes, and why it blows up.

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Implied volatility: a working guide for crypto desks

IV is the market's price of future movement. How to read it as a percentile, why IV minus RV is the real trade, and what term structure tells you.

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Dealer gamma explained: the spot feedback loop

Dealer hedging can dampen or amplify spot. Long-gamma pins, short-gamma accelerates. How to read the flip and why it matters into expiry.

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BTC vol cone — IV percentile reading at current levels

Current 30-day BTC IV at 58 sits at the 34th percentile of trailing 2-year readings. The vol cone shows the structure clearly.

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BTC put/call ratio at multi-month highs — what's priced in

Deribit put/call ratio at 0.84, highest since November 2024. Composition of the puts matters more than the headline.

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ETH options term structure flattens — dealer positioning ahead of upgrade

Front-month ETH IV at 71. 90-day at 58. Term structure flattening from prior 25+ point spread. Read on positioning ahead of the network upgrade.

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Vol surface skew — reading the right tail when it matters

Most desks focus on put skew because crashes are louder than rallies. The right tail tells you something different. Here's what.

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Friday weekly expiry pin risk — BTC short-dated dynamics

BTC has pinned 80,000 on three of the last four Friday weekly expiries. The gamma profile explains the magnetism, but the pattern won't last forever.

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Dealer gamma flips: implications for BTC short-dated options

BTC dealer gamma is flipping negative below the $81K strike — which means dealer hedging now amplifies moves rather than damps them.

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ETH options skew steepens to −8.5 — dealer positioning under stress

ETH 25-delta put-call skew at −8.5, the most bearish since June 2024. Dealers are bid for puts, short calls. This kind of skew rarely persists more than 3-4 weeks.

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BVIV vs DVOL divergence — what's actually priced in

BTC's two main implied vol indexes diverged this week. The gap is small but worth tracking — it usually signals positioning shifts before they show up in directional moves.

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RVOL vs IV: when the implied is wrong and what to do

BTC realized vol is running 8 points above implied. When this gap persists, options sellers lose money. Reading the gap correctly is more useful than picking a direction.

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